I would say your thinking is valid and that a slower burn rate could make better use of the longer barrel. The difference may or may not be noticeable. and load info is available for the slower Aliant powders. My favorite is Green dot for the 45s, I have fired Green dot and Unique loads back to back in the same handgun and the difference was striking to me. If you have the powders on hand why not make some up with several powders and field test them in both handgun and carbine. I could give you a good feel for how burn rate effects recoil and point of aim.